Category Archives for "Uncategorized"

The Illusion of the ‘Near’

THE ILLUSION EFFECTS OF ‘NEAR-TERM’ PRICES

By G. R. Harrison (2014)

Nasdaq1

Click on chart to enlarge for clarity

As usual (and to be expected in a such a negative-news environment), most of the public expect calamity.

The more experienced few see a Bull Market like that of the 1990’s taking place in front of our eyes.

As those of you who have followed my posts over the last year or so know, I’ve been voting on the latter scenario for quite some time.

Most cannot see it and have been blinded by their emotions.

Let’s look at the facts, instead . . .

Two important and required parts for a Stock Market Boom are already in place.

  • The majority of the public is out of the stock market; content to be watching & waiting for disaster to befall the Rich that are in the stock market heavily. They will be brought back into the markets when the ‘smart’ money is ready to sell off their vast inventories.
  • War drums and a ‘weak’ economy (as perceived by the public trader again) seem to offer a reason for caution and even danger to the small investor.

But, of course, like all the other times in market History, these ‘reasons’ end up not being reasons at all and only serve to keep millions from participating in the early and most profitable stage of a Bull Market.

Nasdaq2

Click on chart to enlarge for clarity

The problem is also attributable to a Human perception flaw.

Human Beings tend to exaggerate the importance of objects (or in this case prices) that are nearest to them in Space and Time.

We’re right Here; Now and ‘Near’ to today’s price action as well as the last week’s. It looms large on our screens that are easily available and staring at us as charts on websites and the media.

Because we’re so ‘Near’, every price movement and swing seems exaggerated and important especially when combined with news designed to swing our emotions.

As far as TIME is concerned, it’s like we’re looking through a magnifying glass at a tiny portion of the ‘whole market’ and making judgments based on what we ‘see’. Therefore, it becomes plain that we’re not viewing the market accurately by limiting ourselves to only a portion of the total Time of a price movement.

Observe the two charts for the NASDAQ 100 shown above.

As you can see, the ‘Near’ chart (the first one on this page with the shortest time-frame) ‘looks’ like the beginnings of a Crash or at least, seems to show a very weak market.

However, by looking at the second and much longer term chart, I hope you’ll see that, for the very same Nasdaq 100 market going back YEARS instead of days, we find that today’s ‘Near-term’ charts are only reflecting normal fluctuations and will fit nicely into the second chart’s green rectangle containing all the price action for the last 5-YEARS.

The Market will eventually react and come down again, but, we need to judge that moment (and the warning that it’s coming) by a more distant template than just today’s ‘Near-term’ magnifying glass!

This stepping back is necessary in order not to be scared out of markets or pushed into others prematurely. Please consider it as one of your tools for evaluation.

This same process applies to other markets (excepting commodities because of their annual seasonal nature). – GR HARRISON

AGoldBarsBar

The rediscovery of these WD Gann lost secrets (and many more) as well as other completely original discoveries are available to a limited number of students each year through The Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course. Contact me by e-mail for price and availability by clicking the box below.

Email-Click

brown rectangular box separator for the money-tigers.com website

Newcomers are always welcome to read the many articles that are on this website.

You can gain access by going to the lower part of this page and clicking on the many links there.

If you’re an active trader, you’ll probably be interested in also visiting my other website called www.money-tigers.com where you’ll find that I predicted these lower Gold prices some time ago using other techniques (like the Excalibur Method). Note that there are over 4-years of archived posts there with many, many spot-on predictions.

I’d like to point out that this is a tribute to technique rather than ego and that the techniques applied were developed from my many decades of research into Gann materials and personal research derived or inspired by Mr. Gann’s work. – George

MARKETS AT PIVOT POINTS

Report As Of: March 23rd, 2014

Track which markets are at important trend pivot points. More information is available once you click the button.

Which Markets Are At Pivot Price Points?

PivotMarketsButton

For Markets At Pivot Points Click Here

Pivot Points: The Lowest Risk Points For Trades.

When markets react from their major trend, they provide low risk points to place trades in the direction of the major trend. When we enter a trade from a Pivot Price Point, we are simultaneously extremely close to a pivot price point for a reversal in trend should momentum weaken. Entries placed at Pivot Points allow our Stops to be very close and therefore represent a lower potential loss for the trade.  – George

If you’re not a member, JOIN HERE to read the reports. Members have full access.

AGoldBarsBar

 

MARKET RISK ANALYSIS

Report As Of: March 30th, 2014

Track which markets are STRONG (Bullish) and which are much WEAKER (Bearish). More information is available once you click the buttons.

Which Markets Are Stronger?

StrongMarketsButton

For The Strongest Markets Click Here

Asset Protection: The Flight Towards Safety.

Proper market analysis can soothe the nerves and dial down the anxiety of today’s tense headlines. When there’s war jitters, safety is a fundamental Key for the greater portion of one’s portfolio. Strong Markets are those that are positively gaining in value and running true to their inherent momentum ROI angles as depicted by WD GANN & GR HARRISON in their writings.

Which Markets Are Weaker?

WeakerMarketsButton

For The Weakest Markets Click Here

Speculation: How To Take Advantage Of Weaker Markets.

Once the safety requirements of the stronger markets are met, then, one can speculate and seek profitability by SELLING the weaker markets. Those with the greatest potential for downwards price movements. Weak markets are those that are declining in value according to their own negative momentum. These offer spectacular profit opportunities within short time periods and lie where average traders fear to tread: Where the Market is actually going!

If you’re not a member, JOIN HERE to read the reports. Members have full access.

AGoldBarsBar

Market Risk Analysis

Track which markets are STRONG (Bullish) and which are much WEAKER (Bearish). More information is available once you click the buttons.

MARKET RISK ANALYSIS

Report As Of March 21st, 2014

Which Markets Are Stronger?

StrongMarketsButton

For the Strongest markets click here

Asset Protection: The Flight Towards Safety.

Proper market analysis can soothe the nerves and dial down the anxiety of today’s tense headlines. When there’s war jitters, safety is a fundamental Key for the greater portion of one’s portfolio.  Strong Markets are those that are positively gaining in value and running true to their inherent momentum ROI angles as depicted by WD GANN & GR HARRISON in their writings.

Which Markets Are Weaker?

WeakerMarketsButton

For the weakest markets click here

Speculation: How To Take Advantage Of  Weaker Markets.

Once the safety requirements of the stronger markets are met, then, one can speculate and seek profitability by SELLING the weaker markets. Those with the greatest potential for downwards price movements. Weak markets are those that are declining in value according to their own negative momentum. These offer spectacular profit opportunities within short time periods and lie where average traders fear to tread: Where the Market is actually going!

If you’re not a member, JOIN HERE to read the reports. Members have full access.

AGoldBarsBar

Crude Oil Spotlight

The latest emerging trend report (with chart) can be viewed below when you become a  Member. Please join to view.

[private_WD GANN TRADING SECRETS GROUP]

WELCOME MEMBERS

We’re presently spotlighting Crude Oil as it has presently pulled back to a potential pivot price area.

WD Gann techniques for trading Crude Oil

Crude Oil in the Spotlight

If prices continue downward below 97.00-96.70, then, momentum to the upside would be broken seriously.

This is shown as the red horizontal bar area on the chart.

In that case, prices would be likely to take out the previous lows below 91.00.

However, the trend has UP since 2012 (although at a weak angle upwards), so, a renewal to the upside is the more probable direction to bet.

At this particular price level the risk to a LONG trade (the downside STOP) is less and therefore a good money management decision area.

This is shown as the green BUY area on the chart.

The bottom line of this spotlighted area is that it represents a rapidly moving price zone which spells profit opportunity to speculators and traders.

This should be a market of interest for the next few weeks. – George

[/private_WD GANN TRADING SECRETS GROUP]

AGoldBarsBar

You’ll Need to be a Member to Access the WD Gann articles and insights.

RedButton2Click the button to JOIN.

MORE ARTICLES ABOUT WD GANN:

Testimonials-AB-SideBar202

The rediscovery of these WD Gann lost secrets (and many more) as well as other completely original discoveries are available to a limited number of students each year through The Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course. Contact me by e-mail for price and availability by clicking the box below.

Email-Click

AGoldBarsBar

Members are welcome to read the many articles that are on this website.

You can gain access by joining as a member.

If you’re an active trader, you’ll probably be interested in also visiting another website called www.money-tigers.com where you’ll find previous predictions using other techniques (like the Excalibur Method). Note that there are over 4+ years of archived posts there with many, many spot-on predictions.

I’d like to point out that this is a tribute to technique rather than ego and that the techniques applied were developed from my many decades of research into Gann materials and personal research derived or inspired by Mr. Gann’s work. – George

Why People Lose Trading

W.D. Gann: Rules for Trading

WHY PEOPLE LOSE TRADING

WD Gann: Success lies in doing the opposite of the masses. Successful traders learn to BUY HIGH and SELL LOW.

WD Gann: Success lies in doing the opposite of the masses. Successful traders learn to BUY HIGH and SELL LOW.

You and every other trader has experienced it and experienced it far too often I’m sure: The market approaches new highs or lows and the mass psychology is for prices to reverse.

Prices “should” reverse, but, when prices pass through old highs or lows, hesitation and other ‘habits’ flood in as a response. The general outcome causes delay. And, that response is counter to our best interests.

Why does this happen?

Well, it’s nothing new and, in fact, the market master WD Gann was very familiar with it.

Familiar enough to write it down as one of his important rules for successful trading.

Human Beings have a built-in predisposition that’s contrary to trading correctly or successfully.

As this is common to every Man, it’s a good idea to understand our own Nature better in order to reign-in the less helpful parts of it.

Read what Mr. Gann wrote about it’s origins and what to do to outwit our habit nature in order to achieve better success investing and trading.

For more about this contrary approach to successful trading from the pen of WD GANN himself, CLICK HERE.

AGoldBarsBar

  • February 25, 2014

Rising Prices Confirm WD Gann’s Rule

Feb. 20th, 2014

CURRENT PRICE RISES HAVE CONFIRMED WD GANN’S RULE ABOUT FOLLOWING TRENDS

nasdaq

Chart courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by WDGann-Lost-Secrets.com  CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE

The Markets have recently been giving vivid testimony to the accuracy of one of WD Gann’s foundational Rules for Trading:

In particular his rule to”FOLLOW THE MAIN TREND“. You can read Gann’s words about this by clicking the preceding link or going to the tab at the top of the page titled: Gann’s Rules for Trading where you’ll find it and a number of his other important Rules.

I’ll be adding more of WD Gann’s rules to this tab (which I think will be of use to all) so, please check back often.

Take a look at the recent stock market highs in the NASDAQ or the long-term S&P for confirmation of Gann’s quotes about how one must be willing to follow the main trend or miss out entirely on major price moves. – George

 

AGoldBarsBar

MORE ARTICLES ABOUT WD GANN:

Testimonials-AB-SideBar202

The rediscovery of these WD Gann lost secrets (and many more) as well as other completely original discoveries are available to a limited number of students each year through The Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course. Contact me by e-mail for price and availability by clicking the box below.

Email-Click

  • February 12, 2014

Stocks Rise Above Important Pivot Price

Stocks Break to the Upside – Break Pivot Price Point

Below is yesterday’s chart posted to the www.money-tigers.com website.

I intended to post it here as well for members of the Group to view but the transfer somehow was misdirected. At any rate, the predicted pivot price area did become the explosive launch point but, upwards instead of downwards.

There’s an expected pause to the upwards movement that should take place at the end of the week on Friday.

AGoldBarsBar

  • February 12, 2014

Stocks Break to the Upside

Stocks Break to the Upside – Break Pivot Price Point

Below is yesterday’s chart posted to the www.money-tigers.com website.

I intended to post it here as well for members of the Group to view but the transfer somehow was misdirected. At any rate, the predicted pivot price area did become the explosive launch point but, upwards instead of downwards.

There’s an expected pause to the upwards movement that should take place at the end of the week on Friday.

AGoldBarsBar

First posted at www.money-tigers.com 02/10/14:

Feb. 10th, 2014:

A Potential Pivot Point for the Stock Market

The present retracement in the stock market has reached an important pivot price point.

stockpivot

The chart to the left shows the present pivot price point of interest for the stock market.

The recent down slide in price remains intact until we cross certain price thresholds.

The red downward triangle is pointing to the critical price level to watch for the DJIA.

Should prices rise rapidly above the present price level, I’d consider the downswing to be completed and a renewal a new upswing to be underway.

In addition, on a daily basis, WD Gann timing techniques favor this day as a top with another turn point 3 days into the future to watch.

Have a great week ahead. – George

—————————————————————————————————————————————-

Week of Jan. 13th, 2014:

The Dow Jones Stock Index This Week . . .

djiaupdate

Where are we in the Stock Market this week?

As we’re presently pulling back some from the recent top, we find ourselves poised between the two price areas shown on this chart with the green and red horizontal lines.

The green line at the top shows a strong price resistance point at the 16,500 right now. It will take a little pause and pullback in price to ready the market momentum for a new surge upwards to break through the green line price level.

On the other hand, the market itself has a strong support price area at work at the 16,000 price area as shown by the lower red line below present prices. It’s entirely possible that prices may decline this week, however, they’re likely to stay above the support area while doing it. – George

AGoldBarsBar

 

Stock Market Breaks Price Support Level

As was illustrated a few posts back (see lower on this page), the Stock Market was working within narrow price parameters bounded by 16,000 on the support side.

WD Gann and the DJIA

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by WDGann-Lost-Secrets.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

That support was broken Friday and, even though this support is only based on the last month’s price momentum.

You can see the break in the support price line on the chart to the left shown by the black horizontal line.

A further examination of the broader Russell 2000 index shows similar weakness at present.

WD Gann Techniques and the Russell 2000 Stock Index

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by WDGann-Lost-Secrets.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

Here again you’ll note the black support line on the chart which has now been broken.

There’s another potential support price level around 1120 on the Russell 2000 where price may find some resistance to further decline.

As this break in support is happening on a 30-stock group (the Dow 30) and with a group of 2000 stocks (the Russell 2000 index) it would be well to take notice of what may be an early warning of weakness ahead in the markets.

These shifts could be the beginning of a really important downtrend, but, we’ll have to watch another level to be sure of that.

The chart below shows that a very important milestone will be . . .

JOIN HERE NOW TO READ THE REST OF THIS ARTICLE.

[private_WD GANN TRADING SECRETS GROUP]

The chart below shows that a very important milestone will be prices holding above the 15,250 price level.

WD Gann and the DJIA

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by WDGann-Lost-Secrets.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

 

Prices dropping below that will signal a big drop in the Market ahead.

The Market has made a big run-up and is due for a correction and, this could be the beginning of that event.

The Nikkei 225 is close to a pivot point in trend which would indicate a global downturn should it and the US market break further.

D Gann and the Nikkei 225

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by WDGann-Lost-Secrets.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

 

The Stock Markets globally need to be watched carefully this week.

Observe how the markets behave this week.

Are prices falling freely without resistance?

Or, are prices fighting the decline (which would at least show that insiders are buying the dip and would provide a healthier sign of commitment to support prices).

The professionals have to stay in the market for the market to sustain and continue it’s growth.

But, they’re the first to respond to the actual fundamentals and can give us clues on which way to expect prices to flow. As we’ll never know the inside information that they have access to, their response to market prices will lead the way for the market in general.

If the pros step back, then, the market will fall precipitously and quickly.

Watch for signs of either support or lack of support to prepare for the path ahead. – George

[/private_WD GANN TRADING SECRETS GROUP]

 

AGoldBarsBar

CRUDE OIL: Turning Upwards? . . .

WD Gann Crude Oil projections

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by WDGann-Lost-Secrets.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

As promised in yesterday’s member letter, here’s the Crude Oil chart for today.

Please note: This is a very short-term chart which will be of limited duration in it’s projections.

This is posted just to show that the WD Gann technology works even at intraday levels for Time.

The low support level will be important for hours if not hit early while the upper resistance price level will be of shorter duration as it’s expected to be touched very shortly.

Again, the principles behind these last few day’s projections are the same ones used by Mr. Gann in his day. Those principles won’t ever change and their applications hold for today’s markets just as in the last century. – George

 

AGoldBarsBar

GOLD Takes It’s Turn . . .

WD Gann and the Gold Market

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by WDGann-Lost-Secrets.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

It looks like we’ve arrived at the moment the Gold Bugs have been hoping for; a bottom and turn upwards for this market.

Gold bugs have been clinging to hope now for a long time, all the while losing money as gold drifted lower and lower.

The upturn I’m discerning now in gold is not based on something as nebulous as hope, but, upon the natural law principles based on mathematics that WD Gann put so much faith in over his trading career.

The market itself will make the final decision of course, but, I think we’re on solid ground and have pinpointed a limited risk scenario here (outlined by the green and red lines shown on the chart).

This new uptrend is still early in it’s development, but, the earliest signs of Gold’s building strength are starting to reveal themselves. The chart above shows the present parameters for price support and resistance.

The resistance line to look at is shown as the horizontal green line. If Gold can rise above this price resistance point, then, higher prices are most likely to occur according to the WD Gann models. If prices rise above the green line, then the first objective for price resistance on the upside I’d look for would be $1275.

At the same time, as we’re still early in this move, we need to observe the red horizontal support line. Should prices break below this support, then, the new uptrend will sputter out and shift back downwards again. – George

AGoldBarsBar

The Dow Jones Stock Index This Week . . .

djiaupdate

Where are we in the Stock Market this week?

As we’re presently pulling back some from the recent top, we find ourselves poised between the two price areas shown on this chart with the green and red horizontal lines.

The green line at the top shows a strong price resistance point at the 16,500 right now. It will take a little pause and pullback in price to ready the market momentum for a new surge upwards to break through the green line price level.

On the other hand, the market itself has a strong support price area at work at the 16,000 price area as shown by the lower red line below present prices. It’s entirely possible that prices may decline this week, however, they’re likely to stay above the support area while doing it. – George

AGoldBarsBar

Previous Article:

The ‘Seasons’ of the Markets

seedtimeandharvest

The Markets, as with Nature, also have Seasons of Spring, Summer, Fall and Winter

 

Nature’s Analogies: A Master Tool for Market Positioning

By GR Harrison – www.wdgann-lost-secrets.com

An Analogy is something ‘like’ something else in it’s behavior or nature and, was the basis of WD Gann’s work as it was a most useful way of understanding the World and the actions of things within it.

WD Gann worked from the Principles of Natural Law and, this system of thought took basic Principles and showed how they reflect throughout every level of existence at both the macrocosm and the microcosm levels.

The Ancients observed it and understood it’s applications.

As Natural Law was purposely removed from the educational system of today, we’ve lost connection with this valuable knowledge and it’s uses with all things of this World.

And, this includes the Markets. The Sages of old summed this Great Law into this short phrase . . .

“As Above, so Below”.

Man, despite his ‘intellect’, is not immune from working within the matrix and laws of Nature and those experiences which we all share can teach us great insights even into something so mundane as the markets and their price movements.

WD Gann depended on the reliability of it and, it never let him down. He wrote that one should always note where a market was in it’s ‘cycle’. Much like knowing whether one was in Summer or Winter would affect how we dressed and conducted our affairs. We know this instinctively now because we’ve come to learn (through experience) that each season of the year has it’s own characteristics and qualities.

The same would hold for Markets and their price behavior.

For instance, when the analogy of the Seasons are applied to markets, we can discover WHERE we are within the ‘Seasons’ of a Market.

When we know WHAT SEASON we’re in within a market’s cycle, we’ll know immediately what the next season coming will be and may take precautions and use our technical tools to watch for early indications that our present season has ended and the new one has begun.

For example, in the GOLD market many have ignored the seasons of the Gold market and substituted hope instead of reason (due in large measure to the constant promotion to buy gold by media and internet sources).

However, Summer doesn’t last forever and we must individually awake to the reality of the Season we’re in.

GannCycles

Price charts courtesy of Finviz.com. Indicators by WDGann-Lost-Secrets.com
CLICK CHART TO ENLARGE FOR VIEWING

Much as with those who still speak of global warming while in the midst of the coldest winter conditions in over 20 years.

There’s no difference in the argument and, in both cases, there were plenty of early clues to the shift in trend (weakest sunspot cycle in 190-years and declining (instead of climbing) global temperatures: see chart).

And, just as there was a warning of the turn in trend for Gold after it hit it’s Highs in 2011 and then broke it’s upwards momentum to a sideways trend.

global cooling - global surface temperature

Global temperatures are trending downwards not upwards according to this government satellite data. The long-term ‘Season’ of warming has ended and the long-term ‘Winter’ has begun.

No one knows why these trends change, but, then, one doesn’t really have to know.

Just following the trend and the ‘Seasons’ of the markets or the Global Climate (while keeping an open mind), will, at least, keep us on the correct side of reality versus the fiction of the moment in mainstream ‘news’.

In both cases, there are Grand Seasonal Cycles at work which have changed (while those following them have not noticed because they’ve been trapped by their own egos into holding a single, unwavering opinion no longer based in fact.

Realities are not issues of ‘political correctness’ or subject to social acceptance and the Laws of Nature can’t be voted into or out of existence.

We may not like the Reality. But, that doesn’t change it or it’s effects upon us if we ignore it or, worse, try to fight it.

SP500 'Seasons'

The cycle of ‘Seasons’ for the S&P 500 Index. If ‘Summer’ is here now, it’s certain that ‘Fall’ will surely follow . .
CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE FOR CLARITY

I’ve included another ‘Seasonal’ chart for your consideration.

This one is for the S&P 500 Stock Index.

There are several complete ‘Seasonal’ cycles that have taken place over the course of the time period covered on this chart (back to the 1970’s).

The market’s most recent actions have taken us from ‘Spring’ back in 2009 and on into ‘Summer’ which we’re still enjoying.

Of course, no one basks in the sunshine of Summer forever.

The turning of the Seasons WILL come.

There’s nothing to fear in that.

Just preparations to take and signs to anticipate to know when the change has come.

Most fear the markets at these levels and that fear creates hesitation leading to lost opportunities.

Fear is the chief obstacle to overcome in all things and trading is no exception.

Frustration is the second.

However, if we can learn to work with the natural seasons of the markets, we’ll find our path far easier and the favorable trend will sweep us along with it like a kite in a gentle breeze.

As much as we’re able, we need to set aside the distractions of ‘outside’ influences and opinions and make our own sovereign judgments and take actions based on broad knowledge and critical understanding.

All responsibility is ultimately our own as are the rewards.

This is the epitome of mature and responsible investing and a balanced Life. – George

AGoldBarsBar

MORE ARTICLES ABOUT WD GANN:

Testimonials-AB-SideBar202

The rediscovery of these WD Gann lost secrets (and many more) as well as other completely original discoveries are available to a limited number of students each year through The Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course. Contact me by e-mail for price and availability by clicking the box below.

Email-Click

brown rectangular box separator for the money-tigers.com website

  • February 12, 2014
1 3 4 5