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Updating Our ‘Outrageous’ Stock Market Forecast

 

(Another of) Our ‘Outrageous’ Stock Market Forecasts Comes True

Back on February 22nd, I wrote this Post:

Stock Market Trends: The Path Least Expected

Can a Stock Market Bull be found anywhere these days?

It’s  taken a while and some pretty scary headlines to do it, but, the eternal bulls of the previous decade have finally been silenced only to pick up the eternal damnation song of the Bear Market crowd. A little prematurely, I might add.

dow1At times like these, as I’ve written before, one needs to stand back and assess the ‘mindset of the many’.

If you do take the time to really look at the markets and use historical perspective (instead of newsmedia-driven emotions and justifications) to make your decisions, you’ll find that you’ll be standing pretty much alone in your conclusions.

When looking at the Daily evidence, we’ll see that the trend is, unbelievably, upwards.

The chart clearly shows this to be true, regardless of the ‘feelings’ in the air to the contrary.

THE UPDATE:

Pretty ‘outrageous’ stuff for that time period, eh? Well, not from today’s point of view!

Let’s look at where we are relative to the 16,500 level when that post was published.

djiaThe naysayers and doomsayers kept up their relentless Bearish prognostications while the Market continued it’s rising pattern unaffected by all the words and newsprint.

Presently, the Market has advanced over 500 points higher since I wrote that post.

I hope your confirming analysis (using our proprietary techniques) allowed you to follow it’s movement and make a profit from the exercise.

Remembering, once again, that we’re heading into the Seasonal period for a top in the market, you’ll need those same techniques to catch the top turn when and if it comes in the next month.

My suggestion? Watch for some great, good news period when the Bearish pundits start to relax their outlook and dare to entertain a ‘Bull’ Market scenario.

Perhaps some political event that has positive repercussions. Watch the methods (Stairway, Excalibur or the methods from the Master Course) closely for a turn indicator to run counter to the surface ‘feelings’ of the public.

There’s just no way that the mass public will be allowed to benefit from being on the right side of this major market trend.  This isn’t meant to be a judgment call as to character, but, one about the suggestibility of the public to manufactured ‘news’. – George

 

 

‘The Excalibur Trading Method’ Update on Gold & GBP/JPY Trades

 

‘The Excalibur Trading Method’ Update on Gold & GBP/JPY Trades

gbp-jpy3

Click Chart to Enlarge

ExcalGold

Click Chart to Enlarge

Here are the charts for the Gold & GBP/JPY trades posted just before this one.

This time, I’ve shown the important BUY and SELL price zones that are being targeted for these two markets on the short-term.

You’ll find the SELL Zone areas shown with a green horizontal bar.

The BUY Zone price areas are shown with a red horizontal bar.

The GBP/JPY is at the top end of a short rally and in the SELL green zone.

As for GOLD, it has recently pulled back in price and has touched it’s red BUY Zone bar indicating that it has a high likelihood of rebounding back upwards.

In both cases, we have looked at the longer-term trend to confirm trend.

Only after knowing this do we narrow our focus on the short-term trend and SELL against rallies for the down trending GBP/JPY and BUY the pullback in Gold prices as the larger trend for this market is UP.

Note, as always that this is purely an educational exercise and not an advisory or solicitation to buy or sell. Read our extensive disclaimers to this effect.

Observe and learn what is possible using ‘The Excalibur Trading Method’.

Contact me HERE when you’re ready move up and obtain this World-Class, Premium Tool to apply to your own trading. – George

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Crude Oil Timing

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crudeup3

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Crude Oil: Timing the Shift in Trend

NEW UPDATE: 8/29/15

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[private_GANN TRADING GROUP]

OUR ONGOING CRUDE OIL SHORT TRADE SELECTION HAS FINALLY ENDED & REVERSED TO LONG

 Today’s post is an update on our previous short trade in Crude Oil  since June.

Using the Excalibur Method (and confirmed by other Master Course techniques) we detected a shift in the price momentum in WTI CRUDE OIL on August 27th.

crudeupThis price point of focus was $39.50, with prices above this triggering an exit from our theoretical Short and reversing to a Long outlook; but, only on a very limited short time frame.

Here’s the reason: The angle of ascent for price now is too steep from the August 27th breakout to Friday; far too steep to maintain. However, this won’t prevent us taking the opportunity to take our theoretical grab at a bit of this upside action and get into position for the next down leg when this upsurge breaks (as it must).

We’ll have to follow the upside movement at a shorter time frame rather than the daily chart level shown above.

crudeup2

What to watch for: If new highs are not made and If we get an hourly bar that closes below $44.60 with most of it’s bar range below that price; then, we may assume that the short-term upsurge is over, and, a continuation of the previous downtrend will continue. – George  [/private_GANN TRADING GROUP]