Category Archives for "The Excalibur Method"

Japanese Nikkei Downtrend

JAPANESE NIKKEI 225 DOWNTREND CONTINUES

By G. R. Harrison (2014)

nikkei-1Today, we’ll take a quick look at the Japanese Stock Market as represented by the Nikkei 225 Index.

Unlike the other World Markets, the Nikkei shows a market that made an incredible surge upwards but which has now peaked and is falling in a downtrend.

This is a major economy and a major market break which has not been recognized as such yet.

At the very best, the momentum has broken to sideways and run out of steam completely.

But, this is a market which, (like a Judo Sensei) has had considerable practice in how to take ‘Fall’.

Remember, the Nikkei 225 once peaked at 38,957 in December 29th of 1989, so, this is a market that has fallen from a great height.

And, it may not have reached Bottom yet.

This could turn into a runaway Bear market seeking out it’s ‘comfort’ zone back in the 8K-10K price area before exploring even lower levels, in which case we’ve just seen the first ‘bounce’ up from the 8K price area. We may be on the second arc downwards at present. If we break the 14K price level and go down again, we’ll have an even stronger case in favor of the downtrend. – George

NOTE: The Excalibur Method was used on these charts and, all charts show hypothetical decision points as part of this website’s educational content. All trading is risky. Please read the Disclaimers on this site.

THE EXCALIBUR TRADING METHOD

Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Course image

CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE 

This is the method that I developed in order to find the true ‘intentions’ of the institutional traders in every market.

This approach is unique and, is not a conventional trend tool. The theory behind this exceptional analytical tool was derived from my many decades of research into W.D. Gann’s methods and writings as well as those of the ‘mercantile principles’ from the business side of the markets.

As the years rolled by, rediscoveries of lost principles of the markets were accumulated into what is now called the ‘Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course’.

‘The Excalibur Method’ is now part of the Master Course but, still may be purchased separately for a little while longer. You can read testimonials here.

The first half of the manual introduces a new paradigm and perspective for identifying what I call the ‘intentions’ or ‘objectives’ of the big market interests who clearly control the market trends. The Excalibur Method’s purpose is to allow one to place themselves in alignment with the plans of those who make the markets by using a mathematical tool to extract and interpret those plans. This information is a restricted release product. E-mail me HERE for price & availability

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The rediscovery of these WD Gann lost secrets (and many more) as well as other completely original discoveries are available to a limited number of students each year through The Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course. Contact me by e-mail for price and availability by clicking the box above.

AGoldBarsBar

Russian Ruble & Economic Trends

THE RUBLE IS STARTING TO SHOW SIGNS OF STRENGTH

By G. R. Harrison (2014)

Ruble

Charts courtesy of Yahoo Finance
Click on charts to enlarge for clarity

As the chart to the left shows, the Ruble has been declining since 2011 and hit 5-year lows in March of this year.

Now, 5-years is a long period of time and it essentially rolls us back to 2009 levels of valuation for the Ruble.

Low valuation levels like these are good places for a market to recover strength and the Ruble is doing that right now.

Don’t misunderstand me though, there’s still solid momentum in the downward direction for the Ruble.

It takes time and lots of buying to compensate for all the selling pressure that’s been at play over these last 3-years.

The second chart shows that there’s been significant BUYING taking place which has moved the Ruble now in the upwards direction since March 2014.

It’s interesting to note that this new rising trend started in the middle of the Crimean Crisis.

Obviously, there are some who are investing heavily by buying Russian products. If the media hype during the crisis were correct (it wasn’t), then, you’d think people would be selling their rubles and buying US Dollars. The opposite is shown on the chart.

It’s the US DOLLAR that has declined as a result of it’s admitted involvement in both the Ukraine and Crimea politically.

ruble2

*Note that all charts indicate hypothetical positions using The Excalibur Method.

Currencies can reflect on immediate events temporarily as in this case, but, as I’ve advocated on this website and WD Gann did as well, it’s very, very important to know the long-term trends of the markets we’re examining.

The chart on the left shows us the shorter-term turns.

The red circles are the Excalibur Method trigger points within the downtrend of the Ruble where additional or initial positions could be placed with lower-than-normal risks of reversal.

The green circle at the bottom is where a short-term Buy trigger was indicated where a similar lower-than-normal risk could be applied.

My summary is that, despite the negative news, the smart money immediately took advantage of the political crisis to go against US proposed sanctions and started to heavily BUY the Ruble and go long the Russian Economy.

Need more proof?

Check out the behavior of the Russian Stock Market during this same crisis period.

russianstocksThe chart to the left shows that both the Ruble and the Russian Stock Market bottomed at the same time, but, have since also both risen in the aftermath. Obviously big money moved into this market and has bought when things looked bleakest.

Recent European headlines show that Germany has opted out of the ‘sanctions’ approach as well as other European countries as well as Canada.

All this political posturing seems to have boosted the Russian Economy, not hurt it. Or, at least it provided opportunities to BUY at extreme discounts for those in the know.

So much for politics as an economic indicator. – George

 

AGoldBarsBar

Chinese Yuan: Declining Trend

 THE CHINESE YUAN CONTINUES IT’S DECLINE

By G. R. Harrison (2014)

chineseYuan

Charts courtesy of Yahoo Finance
Click on chart to enlarge for clarity

Continuing in our ‘Appraisal Reports’ for major Currencies of late, we come next to the Chinese Yuan.

The current price chart of the CNY/USD for a multi-year period is shown to the left. This particular chart was prepared some days ago.

Although most media have been reporting the recent upswing in the Yuan, the underlying momentum for this market is still downwards in direction.

We’ll take a more recent snapshot of this market with the next chart down.

This second chart shows that the downward drift of prices has continued even further.

To further confirm the down trend of the Chinese Yuan as indicated by the CNY/USD chart, we should expect prices to decline over time. Let’s see if this is so . . .

chineseyuan2

This is the current trend for this currency which, in turn, strengthens the Chinese economic position by decreasing the costs of their exports.

As the Economy of a nation is reflected in it’s currency, we can draw some conclusion from the emphasis that nation places on it’s money.

As the US DOLLAR is rising, causing exports to be more expensive from the USA, China is purposefully decreasing the value of it’s controlled currency in order to maintain it’s World exporting edge and to support it’s own industries.

This places China in the stronger position of the two economically relative to supporting it’s own industrial base. – George

 

AGoldBarsBar

THE EXCALIBUR TRADING METHOD

Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Course image

CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE 

This is the method that I developed in order to find the true ‘intentions’ of the institutional traders in every market.

This approach is unique and, is not a conventional trend tool. The theory behind this exceptional analytical tool was derived from my many decades of research into W.D. Gann’s methods and writings as well as those of the ‘mercantile principles’ from the business side of the markets.

As the years rolled by, rediscoveries of lost principles of the markets were accumulated into what is now called the ‘Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course’.

‘The Excalibur Method’ is now part of the Master Course but, still may be purchased separately for a little while longer. You can read testimonials here.

The first half of the manual introduces a new paradigm and perspective for identifying what I call the ‘intentions’ or ‘objectives’ of the big market interests who clearly control the market trends. The Excalibur Method’s purpose is to allow one to place themselves in alignment with the plans of those who make the markets by using a mathematical tool to extract and interpret those plans. This information is a restricted release product. E-mail me HERE for price & availability

Email-Click

The rediscovery of these WD Gann lost secrets (and many more) as well as other completely original discoveries are available to a limited number of students each year through The Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course. Contact me by e-mail for price and availability by clicking the box above.

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