detecting shifting trends in the markets | WD Gann's Trading Secrets, Forex, Gold, Indexes, Stocks and Commodity Trading Methods private association

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The Trading Opportunities Using ‘Pivot’ Points:

Our focus today is on the US Dollar Pivot Prices and how to take full advantage of them.

Most traders are looking for the low-probability trades. Of course, they don't know this. Most think that price break-outs are going to occur all the time. In fact, though, they rarely do.

Gold, Crude Oil, Stocks; all the popular markets have average traders looking for disaster as the next move pushing the markets over-the-edge.

However, the truth is that breakout price moves are quite rare (less than 2 chances in 10) occurring only around 15% of the time overall. Sideways to 'reverting-back-to-the-trend' price movements occur around 85% of the time, so, that's the way to bet when you're presented with price pivot points on a chart.

Patience and Waiting then come into play.

At the critical pivot price points like those shown on the US Dollar above, the risk of being wrong (a Stop) can be adjusted to be less risky by waiting for price to approach the pivot point by an amount equal to or less than the risk you've allowed for that trade. - George

The G-7 Conference and A Currency Pivot Point:

I guess you could say that things could have gone better!

The fact that this G-7 attempt at looking unified failed at the exact time that both the Euro and the Canadian Dollar reached a support/pivot point in price where they can go either way (with very little pressure) is the main concern.

Our chart for the EUR/USD below shows a price support/pivot Stop at the point shown with the blue circle. This is a sensitive price zone area and should prices close below it, we can expect another downswing in price ahead.

The Prime Minister of Canada didn't help his country through his actions either. Looks like an open trade war with the US is what he achieved with his immature actions. That action also is occurring at a weak support/pivot price point for the Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD) as shown on the chart below.

The simple fact is that the Canadian Dollar was already to test a support level before this weekend's fiasco with the G-7. Watch the price area shown by the blue circle on the above chart. Should prices Close below this price zone, expect another slide in value for the Canadian Dollar. - George

Bracketing WTI Crude Oil Prices: . . .

In our earlier post we showed some upside price targets for WTI Crude Oil.

Prices have declined since then, so, we thought that this would be a good time to explore how far we can expect prices to decline before they find a support level.

Our chart below shows that price is expected to find serious support on this decline at the $62 usd level.

Along with our upside targets at $76, we now have a bracket for prices on Crude Oil above and below it's present level. Present prices are at a 50% pull-back area and, this is a good support area. However, should events occur that break below this level, expect for $62 to be the next holding price area. - George

WTI Crude Oil Price Projections: . . .

Here are some thoughts on the Crude Oil market during the recent Middle East turmoil :

We're now working towards a general selling area depicted as the 'topping price zone' on the chart below . . .

On our trip upwards in price, there are some strong price resistance areas to watch. The first was hit at the $54 area from which prices backed off for over half-a-year.

The next price resistance area of interest is at $76 (shown by the red horizontal line). Should prices advance past this price on a Closing price basis, that would open the strong possibility of price advancing into the Topping Zone price area shown on the chart in grey color.

Within that price selling area, there is strong resistance expected to be shown at the $98 level. It must be noted that these high price levels would probably be accompanied by some pretty negative news relative to the Middle East and events threatening to happen or occurring there.

Crude Oil prices are heavily driven by Fear. However, there is no actual shortage of Supply realistically.

A few previous clients and recent course inquirers will be contacted this week by e-mail and invited to our 'Accelerated Learning Package Program'. This will provide a way to obtain a collection of desired trading methods all-at-one-time at a never-before-offered tuition price.

If you feel that you should be one of the few (limited to 15 students) to gain access to our Summer Special Offer, drop me a line with your preferred e-mail address and your desired courses. I'll reply in short order. Thank you. - George

The US Dollar: ‘Strength Confirms Strength’ . . .

Sounds a bit esoteric, but, let me explain what's meant by 'Strength Confirms Strength':

As we noted in our last post on the US Dollar, the major trend has just shifted to the upside again as shown on our chart analysis below . . .

As our pivot methods expected a top on Thursday or Friday last week, we expected that a normal price trend turn of short duration was likely to occur. What we found was that, indeed, a spindle top did occur as well as a bottom on the same day! You'll see on the chart below that this was only a brief one-day pause in the march upwards in price for the US Dollar.

The US Dollar's strength is such that it over-whelmed almost all orders to the downside. The Dollar's uptrend re-asserted itself and continued on it's way as if nothing had happened at all. This is 'Stength Confirming Strength' and, an excellent indicator of what lies ahead for this currency to the upside. It also confirms, contrarily, that the EURO is locked into a weakening trend going forward from here. - George

It also confirms, contrarily, that the EURO is locked into a weakening trend going forward from here. - George

A US DOLLAR Top Due Tomorrow? . . .

The US Dollar has been on good uptrend run lately. It has started to breakout from a long-term downtrend as shown on the chart below:

However, even as Daily prices have advanced upwards nicely as part of this new upswing, every advance must take a pause along the way to re-energize itself. Look for a top in the present daily upswing Tomorrow or Friday. - George

Using Price Charts To Predict Wars . . .

Some Markets can reveal the potential for political events like wars when viewed in the light of previous price behavior at certain price levels.

In the case of the present Middle East tensions, we'll examine Brent Crude Oil and Gold to see if prices are at sensitive levels or not.

For Brent Crude Oil we find that we're at a critical RESISTANCE pivot area not only on the Daily Chart, but, also relative to the strong Monthly price chart as well.

Should prices rise above the horizontal bar shown on the charts above, then, it's likely to indicate that conditions have reached or breached a 'war-level'.

It's always wise to bring in more than just one indicator when trying to judge the political conditions that are existent at any time.

In this case, the international significance of Gold to Middle-Eastern interests, warrants that we check out it's price position at this present time as well.

Looking at our Gold chart above, we see that Gold also is at previous Highs and a Resistance Level. It would take very little to have it break above these price levels and, that, would likely indicate an escalation of war activities or preparations.

The fact that both of these international commodities are poised at these sensitive points in their price history as well as the fact that we're entering into the beginning of a repeat of the World War II cycle (as described in our 'It's About Time' Course Set) lends to the importance of controlling the tensions that are presently in play.

It will take cool heads to De-pressurize present events.

The indication of a lowering of tensions will be if prices for Brent Crude Oil or Gold decline below the red horizontal line below their present price level. That would indicate a subtraction of international tension is taking place. - George

NOTE: Due to the great importance of the Time Period just ahead, I'm offering an abbreviated publication of the Time Vibration Chart from my 'It's About Time' Course Set at a greatly reduced price. This will help one to locate highly likely repetition points for past events going forward into the future. Contact me via e-mail if interested. - George

It’s ‘Spring Training Season’ for our Special ‘Master Course’ Collection

The best vote for the 'real-world' authenticity of our trading methods come from the very clients who use them in the markets themselves.

There are an excellent choice of courses and methods available. These techniques will fit any trader's style of trading; from intraday to long-term investors.

It' s 'Spring Training Season'

I'm presently offering a SPECIAL 'Spring Training Season' for our 'Master Course Collection'.

Have you been wanting to participate in learning our 'Master Course' Techniques?

This may be the very moment you've been waiting for!

E-mail me today for details and our Spring Season offering price.

I expect to CLOSE DOWN ANY FURTHER OFFERING for the remainder of this Year. This will occur after the next few clients are accepted for the Master Course. - George

Crude Oil Signals & The Levitas Trading Principle

The Market itself can show you just when it has 'changed it's mind' about Trend & Price.

If you have access to the interpretation KEYS (like those revealed in 'The Levitas Trading Principle') then, you'll find profit opportunities like those shown recently in the Brent Crude Oil Market and illustrated on the above price chart. Three Potentially, super-successful trades gathering first $4,000, plus another $4,000 trade along with the present, still open trade that has already accumulated another $2,000 (and counting!).

That's a potential $10,000 USD PER CONTRACT in just the last 2 Month's time!

If you've been wandering in the Market Wilderness for years searching for some real market insight to light your way, then, you've arrived at the end of that particular rainbow and this is the pot-of-Gold you were looking for.

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A Unique, Effective, Chart-Based Trading System

Introducing . . .

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Only 2 Major Money Trends: The US Dollar and . . .

All The Others!

By George R. Harrison

Basically, since the start of 2017 there have been only two trends in the Currency Markets.

There's been the declining US Dollar trend which continues to this day and the rising value of all the other major currencies as the counterpart.

There's a lot of sound and fury out there with some rooting for the decline of the Dollar as being important globally,

Well, with that being true long-term, in the short-term a weakened Dollar will actually boost the US Economy not weaken it.

Exports become less costly for the US and more expensive to purchase from other countries than before.

Plus, investments like the Stock Market become even better deals as the base dollar depreciates and money flows from more expensive currencies to products denominated in a less expensive one (where more can be purchased than before).

While we speculate in this space about the short-term counter-trend moves a good deal, it's important to always keep the big picture major trends in view in order to place current events in the right perspective.

The Euro chart above is used as representative of most of the major currencies which, on their own, are experiencing rising trends in their currency values relative to the US Dollar.

NOTE: Those of you who are sincerely interested in taking in some of our uniquely accurate trading methods and courses offered on this website ONLY should e-mail me HERE. for further details, catalog & price information. - George

Revisiting Our Special Stock Market Angles of Support Chart . . .

The Present Angle of Support for the S&P 500 is Still Holding!

A Super Strong Market - A Super Steep Angle of Support

Note How Each Market Rally Since 1982 Has Been At Increasing Angles of Support

By George R. Harrison

The Chart you're looking at now is basically one-of-a-kind. I showed it for the first time back in April of 2017.

What most investors and traders aren't aware of is how much market trends depend on the energy contained within an angle of support and how important those angles are to determining how strong or weak a trend has become.

To better confirm just where the US S&P 500 Stock Index is in it's present trend, I've taken all the big trends since 1982 and shown their relative angles on this single chart.

What appears when we do this is a chronicle of rally-after-rally gaining strength and momentum over the one preceding and, therefore, having prices rise faster and faster.

I mentioned in my earlier post in April that this is an unsustainable process as it eventually will come up against the laws of Geometry and Physics as we approach a 90-degree vertical support line.

If you'll take a moment to view the support angles shown on the graphic above, you'll see the rising angles. The red-lined angle is our present S&P 500 Market move. It's extremely fast and steep.

An angle that's this steep that runs for this length of time needs massive amounts of Energy (Money) to sustain itself.

Declines, when they inevitably come, also tend to be steeper and faster as well. Meaning that the fall from this high angle of support could be dizzying and faster than those preceding it in all likelihood.

The Bottom Line is this: The Stock Market Boom at present may continue further, but, will very likely reverse severely when it does break because of it's very steep angle of support.

It takes a lot of buying power to sustain an angle of support this steep and, usually, the buying becomes exhausted suddenly. Previous attempts to break this support line have all failed and Reason no longer can be used to justify the strong market moves we're seeing. Therefore, we must rely on Mathematics & Geometry to give us fair and accurate notice of any reversals. - George

REMEMBER: This is just the balancing side of the yin-yang movement of markets and a natural occurrence. Nothing to fear here, just caution to exercise. Those who know that and have no fear of this normal process can also profit from it. Handsomely.

So, look at the markets in an opportunistic way and be ready for the trend shifts that naturally occur. Be ready to profit from both sides of trading; The Long side AND the Short side. - George

Those of you who are sincerely interested in taking in some of the courses offered should e-mail me HERE.

This Week’s S&P 500 High-Low Swings

Live Daily S&P 500 Futures Prices

Expect a Pull-back from this present Top price area.

You'll note that we're entering an anticipated High Price Zone

'The Excalibur Method' can anticipate Tops AND Bottoms.

By George R. Harrison

“There is nothing in the Universe but mathematical points of force.” - Michael Faraday

The Laws of Probability and Trend need to be applied whenever markets or market conditions tend to evoke emotional, mood-driven responses instead of rational, pre-planned ones.

In the case of the Stock Market (as represented by the S&P 500 Stock Index), we've just experienced an excellent upswing in prices; a good 'run' in one direction: UP.

Longer, uninterrupted 'runs' are necessary to establish 'trends' in price direction (like the upwards direction we're presently enjoying in the S&P 500).

On the top chart, during shorter up swings, we managed to (or rather 'The Excalibur Method' technique managed to) predict the TOPS extremely accurately (or to be less modest, better than any other trading technique out there!)

This time we've had an extended and strong upswing lasting 7-Trading Days.

The number '7' has strong vibrational price turning properties and that, aligned with Excalibur's anticipated TOP price area (shown as the highest green horizontal rectangle on the chart) tends to confirm this week's being the time for either an explosive upswing surge to much higher levels or the more 'normal' top price being reached and an expected, follow-up, pull-back in prices.

Let's look at where prices could go if the price pull-back scenario is correct.

Let's look at the chart and note that there are two red horizontal rectangles present that are below present trading prices.

The highest of the two rectangles denotes how far prices could easily drop in the course of the next few day's trading.

The lowest of the two rectangles (just below 2360) would represent a major pull-back (within the present uptrend) in prices. If closing prices dropped below this price level, we'd be talking about a a breaking of the last two month's bull market move.

Should the lower-probability major surge in prices occur on Tuesday, prices could conceivably go as high as the 2489-90 area and, go there quickly before finding another TOP area to reflect back from.

WARNING: The analysis you're reading here is only projecting out for the next 3 to 5-Trading Days at most. Markets are Dynamic. Any method of analysis that doesn't adapt to changing market conditions is worthless.

All of our time-based trading techniques are DYNAMIC by design. These methods of analysis are as current as the last entry on the chart you're using. In short, use a technique that's RESPONSIVE TO THE MARKETS THAT YOU'RE TRADING!

Opportunity-spotting is just what methods like 'Stairway', 'Excalibur', 'Exponential'. 'Trader's Moon and our other courses are all about. They take the 'noise' of market price confusion and filter out the meaningless data and, better yet in my opinion, they teach you how to do this apart from a computer or the confines of specialized software which you don't understand.

With our Courses you will learn an extremely valuable and powerful SKILL that will last and serve you for a Lifetime.

Are you ready? Are you seriously interested in learning some of our unique trading techniques? Then take a few moments to E-mail me HERE. The new Catalog of our offerings is now available.