Category Archives for "Family Fund management of market risk"

India Rising

INDIA: IT’S MARKETS & ECONOMY ON THE RISE

By G. R. Harrison (2014)

bse-1INDIA is the next of the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) nations we’ll examine.

What we’ve been looking for are signs on how the stock market and currencies for several nations.

Most importantly, we’re drawing our conclusions directly from charts that pertain to a nation’s stock market and it’s currency.

Unlike some of the recent nations we’ve analyzed, India is going it’s own way independently from the other BRIC nations.

The Indian Bombay Stock Exchange bottomed at the end of 2012 and has been rising ever since gaining over 50% in value over that time to present.

More importantly, this rise in the BSE Sensex index appears to be ONLY JUST BEGINNING.

The first chart shows the index for the last 5-years along with trigger signals and the Resistance ceiling for prices over this long period. Prices have now broken well past this former resistance level and soared upwards. When prices are contained within a range for a long period, a break-out will have considerable momentum behind it.

That’s the case here. But, it gets even better . . .

bse-2The next chart shows the BSE Sensex Index over a 10-Year period.

This is a very long time period for markets.

Note that the horizontal red bar shows how price resistance has been contained over this long 10-year period by the 20,000 price area.

Also notice that we’ve now blown by this in the upwards direction.

History and the study of price movements (as WD Gann always advocated) shows that such price breakouts often have preceded enormous market moves in price.

Looking around the World, this market seems to offer tremendous promise for growth and prosperity.

Let’s see how India’s currency is poised during this Stock Market & economic boom.

rupee-1On a monthly basis, the Indian Rupee is rising in a steady, balanced fashion.

This is an important clue because, a solid, long-term rise needs to have a solid base price region.

This is best established by a slow, steady building of value (in India’s currency the Rupee in this case).

Should this process continue we’ll have the excellent pairing of a strong stock market backed by a strong currency.

This is a short-term rise from, what has been, a constant decline in the Rupee lasting 2- years now.

All downtrends, eventually turn into uptrends again.

Has the Indian Rupee made this turn?

Let’s look back a little bit further into the past to put this currency (and India’s economy) into better perspective.

rupee-2Now, let’s observe the last chart in our series now to see where we’re coming from up to the present.

The long-term momentum has been Down these last 2-years, but, the momentum has been slowing by shifting gradually upwards in price.

We’re getting quite close to a second break-out to the upside which would be a very early indicator of a long-term build-up for the Rupee.

What you’ve seen here and in the markets covered this week is how each nation’s markets can be accurately assessed and acted on early.

Understanding & finding these shifts without the special insights needed to do so can be almost impossibly difficult.

That is, unless one has a method of market analysis that can uncover these critical shifts in momentum even as they’re happening. Those critical early decision points are what’s illustrated on these charts with the red and green circles. See lower on the page to learn more about the Excalibur Method used on these charts. – George

NOTE that all charts show hypothetical decision points as part of this website’s educational content. All trading is risky. Please read the Disclaimers on this site.

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Brazilian-Russian Stock Market Linkage Trends

THE BRAZILIAN – RUSSIAN STOCK MARKET LINKAGE

By G. R. Harrison (2014)

Ibovespa

Charts courtesy of Yahoo Finance
Click on chart to enlarge for clarity

Brazil, another one of the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China) is now up for examination.

We’re looking only at the Brazilian Stock Market (IBovespa) at this time.

The stock market bottom for Brazilian Stocks is amazing in it’s exact synchronization with Russia’s Stock Market as previously examined in our article and charts yesterday.

But, Brazil didn’t have ‘sanctions’ leveled against it, yet it also, like the Russian Stock Market declined first, made the same date bottom and has been rising since that bottom in lock-step with Russia.

Brazilian stocks have, on average, made gains of 20% since their Lows while Russia’s stock market has gained 10% in the same time period.

The similarity of two markets so widely separated by their politics and world attentions tracking the same financial paths gives pause for reflection.

This is a good example of politics being used as a smokescreen for grander financial plans by powerful interests.

While the ‘news’ misdirects like a good magician, the profitable markets-of-opportunity are scooped up for quick profits before the rest of the world knows what happened.

realTo get a broader view, I’ve included a currency chart for the Brazilian Real.

The REAL, like the Russian Ruble, has also been declining in value.

Presently, it’s showing support in the 2.15-2.20 area.

Should prices rise to hit the green circle price area, then, a new uptrend will likely engage and push the REAL upwards.

If prices drop to the lower red circle area, then support has failed and a renewed downward movement is highly likely which could drive the REAL to declines of .20-.25.

The daily and intradaily movements of currencies and stocks easily mask the true intentions of the main players from the general public. That’s exactly what they’re designed to do; leave average investors confused and hesitant.

That is, unless one has a method of market analysis that can uncover such grand strategies as they’re being implemented. Those critical early decision points are what’s illustrated on these charts with the red and green circles. See lower on the page to learn more about the Excalibur Method used on these charts. – George

NOTE that all charts show hypothetical decision points as part of this website’s educational content. All trading is risky. Please read the Disclaimers on this site.

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Chinese Yuan: Declining Trend

 THE CHINESE YUAN CONTINUES IT’S DECLINE

By G. R. Harrison (2014)

chineseYuan

Charts courtesy of Yahoo Finance
Click on chart to enlarge for clarity

Continuing in our ‘Appraisal Reports’ for major Currencies of late, we come next to the Chinese Yuan.

The current price chart of the CNY/USD for a multi-year period is shown to the left. This particular chart was prepared some days ago.

Although most media have been reporting the recent upswing in the Yuan, the underlying momentum for this market is still downwards in direction.

We’ll take a more recent snapshot of this market with the next chart down.

This second chart shows that the downward drift of prices has continued even further.

To further confirm the down trend of the Chinese Yuan as indicated by the CNY/USD chart, we should expect prices to decline over time. Let’s see if this is so . . .

chineseyuan2

This is the current trend for this currency which, in turn, strengthens the Chinese economic position by decreasing the costs of their exports.

As the Economy of a nation is reflected in it’s currency, we can draw some conclusion from the emphasis that nation places on it’s money.

As the US DOLLAR is rising, causing exports to be more expensive from the USA, China is purposefully decreasing the value of it’s controlled currency in order to maintain it’s World exporting edge and to support it’s own industries.

This places China in the stronger position of the two economically relative to supporting it’s own industrial base. – George

 

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THE EXCALIBUR TRADING METHOD

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CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE 

This is the method that I developed in order to find the true ‘intentions’ of the institutional traders in every market.

This approach is unique and, is not a conventional trend tool. The theory behind this exceptional analytical tool was derived from my many decades of research into W.D. Gann’s methods and writings as well as those of the ‘mercantile principles’ from the business side of the markets.

As the years rolled by, rediscoveries of lost principles of the markets were accumulated into what is now called the ‘Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course’.

‘The Excalibur Method’ is now part of the Master Course but, still may be purchased separately for a little while longer. You can read testimonials here.

The first half of the manual introduces a new paradigm and perspective for identifying what I call the ‘intentions’ or ‘objectives’ of the big market interests who clearly control the market trends. The Excalibur Method’s purpose is to allow one to place themselves in alignment with the plans of those who make the markets by using a mathematical tool to extract and interpret those plans. This information is a restricted release product. E-mail me HERE for price & availability

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The rediscovery of these WD Gann lost secrets (and many more) as well as other completely original discoveries are available to a limited number of students each year through The Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course. Contact me by e-mail for price and availability by clicking the box above.

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Master Course Availability

Rarity | Limited Access | Unique & Re-Discovered Market Structure Discoveries

The Master Course emerged from over four-decades of research, application and trading in both the Stock, Commodity and Forex Markets. I’ve carefully released it’s secrets to only a few handful of clients who desired to better understand the real workings of the market. These courses tell us how to take advantage of the market’s subtle whispers about it’s plans for the future. It’s about translating the price and time clues and being early to take action on what we discover.

I will release this collection to only a few more this year. It may not be publicly offered again after these remaining few.

This will only be the end of the instructional portion of a project that will be offered to international investors and traders soon. Be sure to sign up as a member. Only members will be contacted privately for the next phase of this international project. – George

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CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE FOR CLARITY

Excellent portfolio & fund management doesn’t necessarily require frequent trading to beat all competitors, but, instead, requires accurate and sound positioning of long-term holdings in strong trending markets.

The ability to determine just where those long-running trends are manifesting and how to follow them safely is what The Excalibur Method offers to today’s discerning investor and manager.

Today’s popular investment approaches are too fast-changing to adopt for the best fiduciary management of a portfolio.

One needs to have a tool to assist them in providing the very best results for clients and to display one’s world-class management potential. Consider the potential for yourself and your management needs.

Contact me for cost & availability by CLICKING HERE. Thank you. – George

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What’s Your Trend?

WHAT TO DO WHEN YOU HAVE A SERIES OF LOSSES

By W. D. Gann (1942)

3cardmonte“When you make one to three trades that show losses, whether they be large or small, something is wrong with you and not with the market.

Your trend may have changed.

My rule is to get out and wait.

Study the reason for your losses.

Remember, you will never lose any money being out of the market.

Holding on to a losing trade is the worst thing you can do, and as a rule it continues to go against you, and the quicker you take a loss, the better.

Trade with the main trend.

It never pays to sell short in a Bull market because you are bucking the trend and may miss the top.

It never pays to buy in a Bear market, becuase you are bucking the trend and may miss the bottom and have losses. WD GANN (1942)

George’s Commentary . . .

Here is another topic as current today as when it was first written by W.D. Gann back in 1942.

This rule will never change and is based on a mathematical principle.

In these writings of W.D. Gann, we can detect Gann’s keen powers of observation as applied to markets and traders.

Most become so emotionally attached to their trades that the concept of a change of trend in themselves and their equity accounts never occurs to them. I can assure you from my observations over the decades that Gann’s comments ring true and should be applied.

This process becomes a new type of STOP (for ALL further trading) that can keep one from hammering away at a market that’s gone sideways and trendless.

These are the very conditions where it’s best to . . .

  1. Step away from the markets,
  2. Apprise ourselves of our previous actions and their results
  3. Re-assess present market conditions
  4. And, reset our profit Objectives in accordance with those present conditions.

Any tool that can help us to restrain our Human Nature to over-do an action without critically examining that action should be welcomed and used consistently. – GR HARRISON

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MORE ARTICLES ABOUT WD GANN:

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The rediscovery of these WD Gann lost secrets (and many more) as well as other completely original discoveries are available to a limited number of students each year through The Harrison-Gann Trade Secrets Master Course. Contact me by e-mail for price and availability by clicking the box below.

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Market Risk Analysis

Track which markets are STRONG (Bullish) and which are much WEAKER (Bearish). More information is available once you click the buttons.

MARKET RISK ANALYSIS

Report As Of March 21st, 2014

Which Markets Are Stronger?

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For the Strongest markets click here

Asset Protection: The Flight Towards Safety.

Proper market analysis can soothe the nerves and dial down the anxiety of today’s tense headlines. When there’s war jitters, safety is a fundamental Key for the greater portion of one’s portfolio.  Strong Markets are those that are positively gaining in value and running true to their inherent momentum ROI angles as depicted by WD GANN & GR HARRISON in their writings.

Which Markets Are Weaker?

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For the weakest markets click here

Speculation: How To Take Advantage Of  Weaker Markets.

Once the safety requirements of the stronger markets are met, then, one can speculate and seek profitability by SELLING the weaker markets. Those with the greatest potential for downwards price movements. Weak markets are those that are declining in value according to their own negative momentum. These offer spectacular profit opportunities within short time periods and lie where average traders fear to tread: Where the Market is actually going!

If you’re not a member, JOIN HERE to read the reports. Members have full access.

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